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Article Navigation >  Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering  > 2010  >  10(3): 122-126
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ZHANG Wen-jun, WEI Shu-yi, LI Qiang, LIU Da-gang, LIU Zheng-jiang. Multilevel decision method of ship's tropical cyclone avoidance route using multisource track forecast[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2010, 10(3): 122-126. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2010.03.021
Citation: ZHANG Wen-jun, WEI Shu-yi, LI Qiang, LIU Da-gang, LIU Zheng-jiang. Multilevel decision method of ship's tropical cyclone avoidance route using multisource track forecast[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2010, 10(3): 122-126. doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2010.03.021
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Multilevel decision method of ship's tropical cyclone avoidance route using multisource track forecast

doi: 10.19818/j.cnki.1671-1637.2010.03.021
  • 1.

    School of Navigation, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China

  • 2.

    COSCO(H.K.)Shipping Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518033, Guangdong, China

More Information
  • Author Bio:

    ZHANG Wen-jun(1977-), male, lecturer, first officer, doctoral student, +86-411-84729640, wenlv00@163.com

    LIU Zheng-jiang(1959-), male, professor, +86-411-84729640, liuzhengjiang@dlmu.edu.cn

  • Received Date: 2010-01-16
  • Publish Date: 2010-06-25
    Abstract
  • In order to reduce the unsafe affection on ship's tropical cyclone (TC) avoidance caused by the errors of TC track forecasts, the present situations of techniques used in ship's TC avoidance and TC track forecast were introduced, and the purport using multisource track forecast was analyzed.In the basis of introducing the application integrating multisource prediction results from observatories, a specific method using the technique of multisource data fusion and a multilevel decision diagram for ship's avoiding TC were put forward.Study result shows that TC avoidance route decided by using multisource forecast results and multilevel decision will enable decision makers to consider all the results from different observatories and more possible TC tracks, so as to reduce possible danger and loss farthest, and ensure the safeties of ships and mariners.

     

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